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UFC 234 is set to occur less than fourteen days from today at Rod Laver Arena at Melbourne, Australia. Together with the card fast coming up, there have sadly been some accidents and a few fights are affected. Here is an update on the latest struggles for UFC 234 in today’s MMA odds and ends.
Sam Alvey vs. Jimmy Crute, UFC 234
Due to an injury to Ryan Spann, Sam Alvey has stepped on short notice and will take on increasing prospect Jimmy Crute in a light heavyweight conflict. News of the new matchup was initially shown by news.com.au.
Alvey (33-11, 1 NC) is 10-6 overall at the UFC while splitting his time between middleweight and light heavyweight. Since moving around 205lbs, Alvey has gone 2-1 with wins over Gian Villante and Marcin Prachnio and a sudden TKO loss to Antonio Rogerio Nogueira in his final struggle. Alvey has settled to the role of gatekeeper, despite the reduction to Nogueira he remains a stern test for any up-and-coming in the light heavyweight division, making Crute the most perfect opponent. Note that Alvey was originally set to fight Gadzhimurad Antigulov in UFC Fight Night 145 prior to being pulled with this matchup.
Crute (9-0) looked great in his UFC debut as he filed Paul Craig. He’s only 22-years old and contains tons of assurance as an undefeated potential. He is the native and has all of the pressure on himbut he has not shown any symptoms of not being able to fulfill the hype. From all accounts, Crute looks like he has a few of those qualities of a future light heavyweight title contender.
In terms of the chances, Crute was a +110 underdog against Ryan Spann, but I would have bet him at those odds as I saw value there. Against Alvey, I don’t see any reason Crute wouldn’t be a huge favorite. I would peg him around -300 in this struggle, and that I see him beating Alvey and continuing his march towards the top-15 ranks.
Callan Potter vs. Jalin Turner, UFC 234
Because of an injury to Alex Gorgees, Callan Potter will make his UFC debut on short notice when he takes on Jalin Turner in UFC 234. Nolan King broke the information.
Potter (16-7) is a regional Aussie fighter and has been riding an eight-fight win streak prior to being submitted by Marcin Held in ACB in his final struggle. He actually has quite a bit of experience, having struggled Jake Matthews before in his career. However, he has no notable wins. Be aware that all of Potter’s fights have finished within the distance — win or lose.
Turner (7-4) was knocked out by Vicente Luque in his UFC debut. That was definitely going to be a challenging matchup for Turner, and I’m still not sure why the UFC put him up as a sacrificial lamb there. All seven of Turner’s career wins have come by stoppage, however he has been pumped out three times himself which is of course concerning.
Turner is the larger name and had a complete camp so I do expect him to be favored, but I think Potter has a fairly good chance . However, this could be a fight where the props could be the best bet, along with the prop I’ll be looking for is the fight ending inside the space, as I fully expect someone to get knocked out.
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